Jason Kenney was determined to swallow much of the news cycle over the long-ish weekend (depending on where you were in the country), first by announcing on Friday that he had appointed a “fair deal” panel to look at ways in which Alberta can assert more independence – but many of those items don’t make any sense, especially as they will be more costly in the long run (or look particularly suspicious, like replacing the RCMP provincial policing contract with an Alberta Provincial Police when the RCMP is deep in investigating the UCP leadership contest corruption). In fact, the former chair of the province’s “Firewall” panel from 2003 says that this is just an exercise in blowing off steam that won’t amount to anything that they didn’t learn back then, which will be amplified over social media into promises that could never be fulfilled – which is a problem. Kenney then doubled down with a lengthy speech at the Manning Centre conference in Red Deer on Saturday, where most of these items were further listed.
This all having been said, I’m hearing from my friends and family in Alberta that Kenney’s cuts are already starting to affect them, and that anger may start to hurt him sooner than later. (Family examples: I have a nephew with special needs whose school aide’s hours are being slashed, and my brother-in-law is a volunteer firefighter, and their training budget has just been decimated). I fully expect that Kenney is going to go hard on trying to direct the anger to Justin Trudeau and Ottawa in order to deflect the anger from his cuts, and you can bet that he’s going to go to absurd lengths to stoke it.
Meanwhile, here are some reality checks into the kinds of things that Kenney is proposing for his “Fair Deal” nonsense, whether it’s for the creation of their own provincial pension plan, or to collect federal taxes on their own.
"Fair Deal Panel" will look at changing the CHT and CST transfers into tax points. https://t.co/Ig7T2GvvYQ That's a non-starter. Tax points worth more to some than others. Historically, uneven cash transfers compensate. To go purely PIT point transfer benefits only three provs. pic.twitter.com/7eoyrjJwnk
— Trevor Tombe (@trevortombe) November 10, 2019
Many of the panel ideas will unavoidably involve more red tape and larger government for Albertans. An expensive stick to poke Ottawa with, imho. This also makes them less credible ideas if the goal is merely "leverage".
But ¯_(ツ)_/¯
— Trevor Tombe (@trevortombe) November 10, 2019
https://twitter.com/kevinmilligan/status/1193379952961277952
https://twitter.com/kevinmilligan/status/1194018713629904897
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https://twitter.com/kevinmilligan/status/1194092599918944256