Probably the most important piece you could read from yesterday’s offerings was this analysis from energy economist Andrew Leach, who dismantled much of the logic behind the Conservative environmental “plan” that Andrew Scheer was so proud of. Aside from the fact that it lacks detail, it’s full of contradictions (such as eschewing carbon taxes, and yet does largely the same thing with large emitters), and a lot of things that don’t make sense. Leach not only calls out the fact that the “plan” is full of straw men and distractions (such as the focus on raw sewage), but probably most devastating is that he punches holes in the plan for the Canada Clean Brand™ that Scheer is trying to promote – the notion that Canadian products are “cleaner” and should displace those abroad, thus keeping Canadian jobs and still (ostensibly) lowering emissions. And while that may be true enough with aluminium, it’s certainly not for our oil exports, which kind of blows the whole thing out of the water. Oops.
For those interested, I grabbed some data from the Masnadi et al. (2018) paper in Science and stacked up global oil production by upstream emissions and then labelled some of the Canadian sources of production so you can see where we stand. pic.twitter.com/uy28ESNMbE
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 12, 2019
This is a good point. Low, but also increasing emissions per barrel as reservoirs decline. This makes some proposals for large emitter regulations more challenging for eastern offshore than for oil sands. https://t.co/d2JwuUbXJj
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 12, 2019
You can't easily delve into the Conservative plan with the level of detail provided. Sawyer tries here, but you've still got to make a lot of assumptions. Bottom line: you're really unlikely to make real progress with these tools, and it will be expensive https://t.co/Fqk8GszxTf
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) August 12, 2019