The Parliamentary Budget Officer released another one of his highly dubious reports yesterday, this time on the incoming clean fuel regulations. Why is it dubious? Because it’s entirely one-sided and assumes no costs to climate change, and no adaptation on the part of industry in order to bring costs down to meet their obligations under the regulations, which is the whole gods damned point of these kinds of mechanisms. Oh, and this isn’t fiscal policy, so it’s not clear why he’s even doing this kind of report in the first place.
Good to see the PBO being called out. https://t.co/KnoDMqBXNg
— Catherine McKenna (@cathmckenna) May 18, 2023
Child care? Nope. Health transfers? Nope. Mortgage rules? Nope. Help me out here, people…there must be others?
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) May 18, 2023
Update: there was a distributional analysis within the fiscal analysis of the child tax benefit. But, doing distributional analysis of the Clean Fuel Regs is very different as a) not fiscal policy b) already part of TBS RIAS and c) reported only on costs, not benefits.
— Andrew Leach (@andrew_leach) May 18, 2023
As you may have noticed during Question Period, the Conservatives jumped all over this report and its findings, and when they were questioned, their media staff were over social media accusing people of calling the PBO a liar. Well, it’s not that he’s a liar—it’s bad data, a bad report, and the numbers taken from it were used dishonestly and entirely in bad faith. And the PBO gets the attention he’s looking for, and around and around we go.
Rachel Notley vs Danielle Smith
For the purposes of researching my column last night, I subjected myself to the leaders’ debate in the Alberta election and it was…not great. Yes, lots of people gushed at how nice it was just to have two leaders going head-to-head and not four or five, but we don’t have a two-party system federally (and it’s a bad sign that Alberta has a de facto one provincially).
My not-too-original observations were that Notley was weirdly on the defensive most of the night, while Smith was pretending to be the upstart challenger rather than the incumbent, attacking Notley on her record at every turn when Notley wasn’t effectively throwing many punches herself. Yes, she did well on the healthcare and education portions, but was not effectively countering Smith’s confident bullshit throughout, and that’s a real problem in a lower voter-information environment, where that confidence plays well regardless of the fact that Smith lied constantly with a straight face. On the very day that Smith was found to have broken the province’s Conflict of Interest Act, Notley had a hard time effectively making this point, while Smith claimed vindication because it showed she didn’t directly call Crown prosecutors, while it full-out warned that Smith’s behaviour was a threat to democracy, and Notley could barely say the words.
Programming Note: I am taking the full long weekend off, so expect the next post to be on Wednesday.
Ukraine Dispatch:
There are reports of more air raids in Ukraine early Friday morning. Russians fired 30 cruise missiles against Ukrainian targets in the early morning hours on Thursday, and Ukraine shot down 29 of them, with the one that got through striking an industrial building in Odessa, killing one and wounding two. There were also further gains made around Bakhmut, and even the Wagner Group’s leader says that they have bene in retreat. Meanwhile, president Volodymyr Zelenskyy set up a reintegration council in order to provide advice for the restoration of Ukrainian rule when they liberate Crimean.
This year, the two meanings are united by one date, May 18.
79 years ago on this day, the Soviet regime began deporting the Crimean Tatar people. A people they wanted to erase. Deprive of their homes, deprive of the right to life.
But the people survived. And they will live… pic.twitter.com/PDgX56ST7s
— Volodymyr Zelenskyy / Володимир Зеленський (@ZelenskyyUa) May 18, 2023
https://twitter.com/defenceu/status/1659213321927794693
Russians fired missiles at the village of Tsyrkuny, Kharkiv Oblast. The shelling killed a 52-year-old local resident. Two more civilian men were wounded & hospitalized.
2 residential buildings were completely destroyed. 13 houses & 14 outbuildings were damaged – Oleh Synyehubov pic.twitter.com/gOVyAzsspS
— UkraineWorld (@ukraine_world) May 18, 2023