In a sit-down interview with The Canadian Press, prime minister Mark Carney says that an oil pipeline out of Alberta is “more likely than not,” and this doesn’t mean the revived Keystone XL (aka “Bridger Pipeline”). But he’s also not saying anything about Pathways, which is a bit suspicious because he tied the approval to Pathways getting underway, and industry has made it very clear they’re not interested in paying for it.

To that end, who showed up in the op-ed pages of the Globe and Mail but Martha Hall Findlay, former Liberal MP and now head of the University of Calgary’s School of Public Policy, who put on a big show to say that she found it hard to write, but lo, she must recommend that the government “pause” Pathways, because it’s useless on a global scale, and “the world changed.” And then there was more hand-wringing and rationalization that Canada is such a small contributor to global emissions that it doesn’t matter.

The world didn’t change. Facts didn’t change. Climate change didn’t stop with the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, so quite frankly, this is bullshit and special pleading. The notion that we don’t contribute enough to global emissions is such a poor argument because it’s a common action problem. We have some of the highest emissions on a per capita basis, and yes, that matters. Hall Findlay was going on about how this is all about ego, and we just want to look like we’re leaders, but guess what—every action matters. And if you think that it’s too expensive to reduce emissions now, well, it’s going to be even more expensive the longer we push it down the road, when the effects are even more entrenched globally. We’re already spending billions of dollars in insurance payouts every year that are directly related to climate. The vast majority of food price inflation is climate-related, even if people don’t want to admit it. Frankly, these arguments of hers are tired and baseless and not worth listening to, no matter how much she insists she still believes in climate action…eventually.

My favourite moment in any oil price shock cycle is when the Very Serious Energy People explain why this — again! — is not the time to give a shit about the climate crisis

— Chris Turner (@theturner.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T15:21:29.234Z

If Canada can make that argument at 1.4% then presumably so can Saudi Arabia (1.5), Iran (1.9) and Japan (2.0).Then I imagine both Indonesia (2.3) and Brazil (2.5) would say, "hey, us too." And at that point, you've ruled out 204 countries accounting for roughly 46% of all national emissions.

— Aaron Wherry (@aaronwherry.bsky.social) 2026-05-01T15:02:42.580Z

— Effin' Birds (@effinbirds.com) 2026-05-01T19:08:02.330Z

Ukraine Dispatch

Russia launched yet another attack on port infrastructure in Odesa early Friday, and then launched more than 400 drones in a daytime attack that injured ten people in Ternopil in the west. Ukraine is planning an overhaul of its military rotations, particularly after an outcry over images of emaciated soldiers emerged.

Good reads:

• Also in that The Canadian Press interview, Carney said that he won’t use critical minerals for leverage in negotiations (as Poilievre demands).
• Marc Miller does seem to have a better understanding of chatbots and blames humans at OpenAI for not reporting the flagged conversations at Tumbler Ridge.
• Steven MacKinnon says he’s committing to ensure committees are operating publicly, after more of them went in camera this week. (Crying wolf, guys).
• As part of the Spring Economic Update, MacKinnon also announced that they were quadrupling certain penalties for airlines to $1 million when they break the Code.
• The government will contribute $9.8 million to a Canada Soccer national training centre, with the location to be announced in the coming weeks.
• CSIS released their annual report yesterday, and once again listed China and India as the biggest threats for foreign interference. (Good thread here)
• General Jennie Carignan is set to deliver a series of options for how to rapidly increase the size of the military.
• Bank of Canada governor Tiff Macklem says he is encouraged by efforts to diversify export markets, and that the spring update will have little impact on inflation.
• Here is a look at what high global oil prices are doing to the airline sector in Canada.
• The Pentagon has locked Canada into a purchase of HIMARS systems.
• The Chief Justice has dismissed a request to recuse himself from a potential Supreme Court of Canada hearing on the Emergencies Act case.
• Danielle Smith says she is open to new legislation after that voter list was abused in separatist hands. (She could undo changes Kenney made limiting investigations).
• Patricia Treble looks back at the King’s state visit to the US.
• Emmett Macfarlane offers his approval of the Supreme Court of Canada’s decision in Alford, which upholds parliamentary privilege in relation to NSICOP.
• Supriya Dwivedi lays out why banning social media for minors may sound like a good idea, but is really, really bad policy.
• Justin Ling canvasses the Liberal ranks for evaluations on Cabinet, and who is expected to be out in the next shuffle, and who could make their way in.
• My weekend column makes a few observations about why the King’s state visit to the US was a perfect reminder about why ours is the superior constitutional system.

Odds and ends:

For National Magazine, I delve into the Supreme Court of Canada’s decision yesterday on the NSICOP legislation, and limiting parliamentary privilege.

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